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Thursday, April 17, 2014

System 12 - Q1

Note: this update covers all activity from 4/17/2014 to 6/17/2014. May update was skipped, because there where no changes to MD, and nothing piqued my interest at that time.

System 12 BCM:
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?WFC,RDS/B,NVS,MSFT,JPM,JNJ,BRK/B,IBM,GE,PG,WMT,xom|B|P5,3,3

Unfortunately LP didn't last long. Hoping that earnings will be well received, so S12 can increase allocation. LP is the key ingredient for growth.
1st Quarter 2014 earnings score
(only initial reaction considered, regardless if stock recovers or not):
All reported:  6 up; 6 down
Note on JPM - exit criteria was met, but stock stabilized and did not take out PP low. In by-pass with trailing stop-loss.
AAPL split 7:1 on 6/9.

SLD: JPM on 5/5; MSFT and IBM on 5/6; WMT on 5/20; PG on 6/4
BOT: CVX and PTR on 5/7; MSFT and AAPL on 5/12 (re-entry); GOOGL on 6/3
DIVI received: JPM, PG, WFC, WMT, JNJ, XOM, CVX, MSFT.

CHL, T, TM, BHP, ORCL


This is MD:
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?AAPL,XOM,GOOGL,MSFT,BRK/B,GE,JNJ,WMT,WFC,RDS/B,CVX,NVS|B|P5,3,3

MD Control: JPM, PTR out;  CVX, NVS in.
All qualified.
I don't have AAPL, GOOGL, CVX
RDS  not sure when earnings. Year end in Dec., results published in March?
BRK earn. in early May?

This is SD:
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?PTR,PG,JPM,IBM,HSBC,VZ,PFE,CHL,T,TM,BHP,ORCL|B|P5,3,3
BAC out, VZ in
I have PG, IBM, JPM

This is Arnott Overlay (AO):
 XOM, GE, WFC, MSFT, CVX for 20% each. JPM pending resolution of earnings gap-down.
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?SPY,RSP,PRF,XOM,GE,WFC,MSFT,CVX,JPM|B|P5,3,3

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Clever Eddy Elfenbein made an interesting observation here:
http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2014/04/the-markets-oligarchy.html
...market cap of the S&P 100 makes up about 62% of the market cap of the S&P 500...The S&P 500 makes up about 77% of the entire value of the Wilshire 5000. Despite its name, that index has 3,663 stocks... S&P 100 is about half of the Wilshire 5000. The remaining 3,563 make up the other half.
That goes to a core of System 12. Combined market cap of MD Control (index) is something over 3.5 Trillion Dollars. Imagine, if Mega Dozen was a country - it would be 4th or 5th biggest economy in a World!
Extremistan, USA (Taleb, yes)

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