Select Themes Review and Update

There are some Themes that kinda active, but phasing in and out mostly due to unending bear market or lack of correlation. I think Themes need to be reviewed in general at-least once a year to make sure that fundamentals didn't change much, see if big stocks lead or small, see if weightings of stocks in corresponding ETF's where rebalanced, but mainly to update watch lists. If my assumptions about industry or situation are correct, then price action will confirm. Otherwise I would have to deal will long grind and pain of System8... I would rather not... a have much better methods in System9 and System12.

Do nothing which is of no use.       -Miyamoto Musashi, 1645-

Uranium for Sale

And getting cheaper everyday. Every rally was sold to new lows since Fukushima accident in 2011, even thou there are many more nuclear power stations being build all around the World. They can't run base load of a solar panel. Really.

Top ETF is URA from Global X, with 0.7% fee, only 200mil in assets, and down 70% from inception in 2010.
http://www.globalxfunds.com/URA
Top 3 holdings: CCJ, DNN, URPTF (proxy for price of U92) - together almost 50% of fund. It also include several companies not traded in US - Australian Syrah, French Areva, etc.
USU filed for bankruptcy in March. Its happening...!
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?NLR,URA,CCJ,DNN,URZ,UEC,URG,URRE,UUUU,URPTF,PALAF,FCUUF|D|C20|0

CCJ is the only real company, DNN comes a distant second. UEC (with huge short in it) and UUUU are Mickey's 'sponsors'. The other little ones attracted some inst. buying...lol... What a fucking mess... But correlated, active and with enough volume.
More here: http://investorintel.com/nuclear-energy-stock/
Different view of industry: https://www.motifinvesting.com/motifs/nuclear-renaissance#/overview

NLR is a tiny (only 75mil) ETF from MarketVectors invested by 70% into utilities known to use nuclear power. Like DUK, NEE, SO, D, PPL etc. I already have them in utility mut fund in System9.
http://www.vaneck.com/market-vectors/equity-etfs/nlr/snapshot/

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Shippers on Deck

I made a Discovery at Sea (post-link) a little over a year ago. Shipping companies made me alot of money, even when I traded them short term. I wish I decided to focus more on dividends and hold them longer, as market happened to accommodate. Industry dynamics didn't change much over this year, top 20 are almost the same and look much better than smaller stocks.

http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?$BDI,SEA,KEX,TK,GLNG,TGP,TOO,SSW,GMLP,GLOG,SFL,CMRE|C|C20|0
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?NVGS,DRYS,NMM,CPLP,MATX,NM,DSX,NAT,SB,DLNG,dac,vlccf|C|C20|0

SEA is a small (120mil) illiquid ETF with 0.7% exp ratio. Largest holding, at maximum allowed allocation of 20%, is Maersk. There is no other way to invest in it from US I'm aware of.
http://guggenheiminvestments.com/products/etf/sea
Considering how well correlated top of list is, I will exit SEA from BCM account (on either a close stop or next rip) , wait an obligatory month (damn wash), and begin taking shippers. System9 will keep SEA until multiple sell signals accumulate.
These are not my smoothest moves... he-he

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Pot(ty) Training

Marijuana Theme quickly turned into pump-n-dump. So many new penny stocks where listed here and in Canada, and promptly proceeded down by 50-90%.
I am well trained to work thru this shit.  Gold stocks now, Rare Earths before, Home Builders awhile ago - I've seen this movie more than once. Selling most of pot stocks on last rip was a wise decision, and not a hard one to make at 500-1000% profit. Really, hundreds into thousands... nicccce
Now picture is muddy, but I still think we will know more after elections. Its not over.
Looking to reload with tiny size positions...lol
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?MDBX,CBIS,MJNA,HEMP,PHOT,AVTC,TRTC,ERBB,GRNH,GWPH,CANN,canv|B|P5,3,3|0
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?FSPM,MCIG,NVLX,VAPE,ATTBF,EXMT,GWPRF,HSCC,LATF,NTRR|B|P5,3,3|0

More here:
http://marijuanastocks.com/content/list-marijuana-stocks
http://money.msn.com/investing/14-cannabis-stocks-to-watch-in-2014-1

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Raring for Rare Earths

I tried to buy Rare Earth stocks (my old fetish) about a year ago, but it didn't take. Situation is largely the same: these companies are either a fraud, or a delusion. Nobody talks about them, dedicated forum is all but empty. The only two companies doing something is still MCP and LYSDY, both down about 70% from year ago.

In a life of mining company, this period between exploration and production is called "Valley if Death"... indeed it is. Many blown up or sold, most of remaining will not survive in their present form. I am controlling my eagerness to buy some, but several good looking set-ups are present for at-least a meaningful bounce. Also watching related items in titanium, palladium, lithium and antimony.
Start here:
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?REMX,RTI,TC,REE,TAS,GMO,LYSDY,MCP,PAL,UAMY,uuraf,LIT|B|P5,3,3|0

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Mother Russia 

Come on Vladimir Vladimirovich, the World is watching...
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?$RTSI,RSX,CTCM,MBT,MTL,QIWI,VIP,YNDX,OGZPY,SBRCY,NILSY,LUKOY|B|P5,3,3|0

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--------------------Watch List----------------------
I trade only my own watch list... exceptions are futile

http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?MHFI,GEO,CXW,DVA,LO,WDC,IMAX,CHKP,XON,GS,CG,tsla|B|P5,3,3|0
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?DBA,JJG,MOO,MON,ADM,POT,MOS,HRL,TSCO,LNN,CRESY,SQM|B|P5,3,3|0
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?XHB,LEN,DHI,PHM,TOL,WY,PCL,RYN,PCH,EXP,TXI,mlm|B|P5,3,3|0
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?URA,CCJ,DNN,URZ,UEC,URG,UUUU,URPTF,CVV,GTI,ENTG,fcsmf|B|P5,3,3|0
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?$BDI,SEA,KEX,TK,GLNG,SSW,SFL,CMRE,DRYS,NM,MATX,VLCCF|B|P5,3,3|0
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?EEM,FXI,PGJ,HAO,RSX,AFK,FM,VNM,TUR,IFN,TTF,idx|B|P5,3,3|0
 http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?SPY,RSP,PRF,XOM,GE,WFC,MSFT,CVX,JPM,googl,brk/b|B|P5,3,3|0
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?tan,scty,fslr,enph,spwr,slx,kol,x,aks,mtl,mt,crs|B|P5,3,3|0
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?AMLP,XLU,FIUIX,IYR,REM,PSP,LYSDY,HEMP,MJNA,MDBX,CBIS,GWPH|B|P5,3,3|0
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?SLV,CEF,GDX,SIL,PPP,AG,RGLD,FNV,SPPP,COPX,SCCO,FCX|B|P5,3,3|0

These where hit very hard during March-April sell off. 3D and pawn-shops are of interest to me.
 http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?DDD,SSYS,ONVO,EZPW,FCFS,CSH,YELP,FEYE,SPLK,WDAY,CACQ,MPEL|B|P5,3,3|0

More here: http://ibergamot.blogspot.com/2014/04/digging.html
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New Moon

....developing....

New moon was 2 days ago, Solar is active non-stop with 2 M-Class flares last week and X-Class today. We are going to get fried down here, if there is no respite sometime soon.

           Planting starts this week, although its still 40's at night. If we don't plant now - there is not going to be any harvest anyway. I don't fertilaze, but I can't see what choice farmers will have. POT, MOS or bust, but I need a dip to buy. Grains are not looking very promising, but I opened half size JJG on possible double-bottom with some volume profile improvement. Its quite possible that I will buy more at lower price.
          Finviz has 2 groups I know nothing about - Farm products and Food Major, of which I have some in my watch list. Fly just went long ANFI - a 300mil Food-Major out of Emirates- I don't see this as good entry. Many talking about water stocks, but LNN is in a process of retesting a double top neckline (its a pretty big January-April double top). I was looking at GAGA - horrible looking chart of profitable largest greenhouse vegetable producers in China. The seems to be changing some things that may improve the situation, plus I am interested in everything China.

Of interest to me are:
DRYS here and above 1.90;
REMX, LYSDY and all main Rare Earths on some kind of dip, also URA, CCJ and Uranium group
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?IYR,DDD,SSYS,SODA,YELP,ANGI,MDBX,PGH,FCX,VNM,drys,remx|B|P5,3,3


Watch-List Cleaner
http://ibergamot.blogspot.com/2013/04/watch-list-cleaner.html

Sld : XCO, ROST. __ Bot: LYSDY

Sld:
XCO on stop. No re-entry for now. Resistance at 7.50-8 is too strong.
ROST weak lately, lagging retailers. Re-entry possible. Wait.
(speaking of retailers XRT is much weaker than RTH, but RTH has no volume. Need to look what is inside of RTH)

Bot:
LYSDY.  1/3pos and looking for any BTFD. I had a full position closed on 5/17/12 at the same price. Took a loss of $1200 !
They finally got TOL approval. Jump 50% on news. This is a much needed good news for whole Rare Earths sector. Watching MCP, AVL, TAS.
Liquidating DCHAF for a couple of weeks now. Merger is announced with some other company, I have no interest in. That "other company" is investing in bunch of gold start-ups and looks like losing money on it. Methinks they going to use Dacha cash flow to cover these loses. I will be all out soon.

http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?EXPE,HCN,VSI,CHE,MED,AVL,CP,rost,xco,yelp,fb

iBergamot SLD: TAN, GDXJ, REE, AVL, YELP, TSLA

I am finding myself hoping.
Hope is not a strategy - its a poison, fucking with my head and portfolio.
New watch lists are better than old ones, so I'm starting fresh next week, cleaning old watch lists and preserving money for a new fight.

SOLD 4/18/12 - TSLA on stop
SOLD 4/19/12 - YELP on stop, AVL
SOLD 4/20/12 - GDXJ, TAN, REE
keeping SLV, VNM, STKL 1/2, (-DBA), LYSDY
Core positions TBT, HYG, XLU

iBergamot BOT: TAN, TSLA

TAN - stop 22.55
TSLA - stop 31.80
Rare Earths still weak. Thinking of cutting losses on REE, AVL. Keeping LYSDY until production for sure.

iBergamot wins again

VNM is on fire. If it comes down a bit, I will add. Also looking at EPU (Peru), but not today.
Rare Earths are weak. SLV and GDXJ are ripping tits.

The following is stolen, err borrowed from The Fly of iBankCoin fame:

A FAZmobile was seen zipping down the street. Inside of it was a bearshitter, clad in a burlap hoodie and florescent orange velcro pants. This FAZmobile I speak of traveled at frightening speeds. Onlookers cowered as it “zipped” by.
Back on Wall Street, Benjamin Bernanke was fireside, smoking a blunt filled with Moroccan hashish, mumbling to himself “I’m gonna get those bitches.”
The FAZmobile headed towards Wall. The occupant fancied he’d crash his mobile into the building where Benjamin Bernanke resided, with designs of destroying The Bearded Clam and his army of printing presses.
As the FAZmobile approached, Ben stepped outside, gazing at the insanity on wheels that was the FAZmobile. From the skies a large object appeared. It descended upon Wall Street with such force, the ground trembled, tipping the FAZmobile over on its back.
Benjamin entered this object, which happened to be The Federal Reserve helicopter, flicking his blunt down below at the FAZmobile, which was paralyzed and stupid, drenched in its own gasoline. As the flames plumed into the NYC skyline, Ben smiled and said “I got you bitch.”
The end.